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Election Betting Odds: Live Updating Presidential Odds


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Election Day has arrived in America. All eyes today will be on the betting odds for the election as exit polling data comes out and votes begin to get counted.

The current Presidential betting odds, as of Tuesday afternoon, have Donald Trump ahead of Kamala Harris 58% to 42% at leading prediction market site Kalshi. 

Trump has led by as much as 63% to 37%, but Harris briefly actually took the lead over the weekend, before Trump again surged ahead on Monday and into Tuesday. In case you're wondering, here's how to bet on the Presidential election.


Betting Odds for President

To Win Presidential Election

Donald Trump: 58%

Kamala Harris: 42%

The odds of Trump winning increased slightly on Tuesday morning, though Harris holds a slight lead in key battle ground states.

To Win Pennsylvania

Donald Trump: 56%

Kamala Harris: 44%

To Win Michigan

Donald Trump: 36%

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Kamala Harris: 64%

To Win Wisconsin

Donald Trump: 42%

Kamala Harris: 58%

To Win North Carolina

Donald Trump: 67%

Kamala Harris: 33%

Trump vs. Harris odds will update throughout the day, so you can keep checking back with this post or download the Kalshi app for real-time data.


Sites Where You Can Bet on the Election

  • Kalshi -- bet here
  • Robinhood
  • PredictIt -- bet here
  • Interactive Brokers

Yes, it is legal to bet on Presidential Election odds in the United States thanks to a recent court ruling, which agreed with prediction site Kalshi that election odds should fall under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

As a result, Kalshi began offering election odds, and its competitors quickly followed suit.

In terms of where is best to bet, we find Robinhood to be a bit too complex, since it treats election odds like a financial derivative and requires users to opt-in to more advanced trading. Read our full comparison of Robinhood and Kalshi.

Interactive Brokers is not really a consumer platform.

Popular site Polymarket is not legal or regulated in the US.

And that leaves Kalshi and PredictIt. Both are good and will allow you to bet on the election, but Kalshi offers the more user-friendly interface and has been more popular in the run-up to the election.

Related: Polymarket vs. Kalshi


Things To Consider When Betting on the President

  • Trump's odds surged after podcaster Joe Rogan endorsed him in a post on social media site X
  • There have been more last-minute searches for Harris' policies than Trump's-- whether that's an indication of more interest in Harris or her campaign doing a worse job of presenting its views is unclear
  • Exit polls can be very misleading and have historically proved to be wrong, so be careful about betting on the election based on polling data


Bet on the 2024 Presidential election with Kalshi right here.

author

Kyle Scott

Kyle Scott runs OnPattison.com and is also the President of parent company Access Global Media, which reaches more than half a million readers through its network of sites across the Philly area, South Jersey, and the Jersey Shore. Scott founded and ran CrossingBroad.com before selling it to publicly-traded XLMedia in 2020, where he served as SVP of North America Sports for two years. He has more than 15 years experience in sports and digital media, and online marketing. In addition, he has also written for CBS Philly and Philly Voice, and been a panelist or contributor on NBC Sports Philly, FOX 29, and SNY TV, as well as a recurring guest on 97.5 The Fanatic, 94 WIP, 106.7 The Fan and other sports talk stations.

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