The Philadelphia Phillies head into the second half of the 2025 season sitting atop the NL East with a 54-39 record. After a confident first stretch, they’ve shown signs of balance between solid pitching and timely hitting. From a bettor’s perspective, the team has become a common staple in MLB parlay picks, especially in games that pair favorable pitching matchups with consistent offensive output.
With key contributors like Zack Wheeler, Kyle Schwarber, and Trea Turner, Philadelphia offers strong anchor legs for multi-leg bets. As the season resumes, understanding their role in second-half parlays means tracking more than just wins and losses; it’s about pitching rotations, run lines, and opponent trends.
The Phillies have quietly become one of the most consistent teams to back in single-leg or combined parlays. Their ability to beat sub-.500 teams and split tougher series has rewarded smart bettors who lean into matchup-specific angles rather than pure loyalty.
Philadelphia has handled lower-tier opponents like Washington and Atlanta with discipline, going 17–6 combined against them so far. This track record makes them a prime pick in parlays when facing teams at the bottom of the standings. Against underperforming pitching rotations, they’ve repeatedly covered the –1.5 run line, particularly at home. Schwarber's power and Turner's consistency at the plate give them early leads, which often take the pressure off the bullpen.
The Phillies are 30-16 at home this season. Against visiting starters with high ERAs, they often set the tone early by scoring within the first three innings. That’s been a helpful prop to tie into parlays, especially when pairing with total runs over/under lines. The comfort of Citizens Bank Park, where power hitters like Schwarber thrive, gives their offense room to surge early and often. To stay ahead of shifting trends, following MLB news is key. Updates on starter changes, bullpen fatigue, or even player rest days can reveal subtle edges that turn a standard pick into a profitable parlay leg.
While Philadelphia has scoring power, especially through Kyle Schwarber, their offense can cool off against elite pitching. Recognizing when to back the bats—and when to avoid totals—is key in crafting second-half parlays.
Kyle Schwarber’s 29 home runs lead the team and serve as a constant threat in parlay home run props. He’s hit multiple leadoff home runs this season and tends to produce in hitter-friendly ballparks. His hot streaks—like the one in late June where he homered five times in six games—make him a high-upside prop target. On days when the wind’s blowing out and the mound matchup is weak, Schwarber’s HR prop elevates parlay odds substantially.
Trea Turner isn’t flashy, but his .294 average and .344 OBP make him a steady prop performer. One hit, one run scored, or over 1.5 total bases can often be counted on—especially against lefties or control pitchers. His baserunning also adds an element of unpredictability, creating extra scoring chances when he gets on early. Turner remains a quietly effective pick when looking to add stability to volatile multi-leg parlays.
Among NL pitchers, Zack Wheeler remains one of the most popular starters to build around in MLB parlay setups. His 2.17 ERA and 148 strikeouts across 18 starts make him a dependable betting asset.
Games Wheeler starts often trend toward the under in total runs. Opponents rarely break through for more than two or three runs, and his efficiency on the mound shortens games. For bettors combining a Phillies win with a total runs prop, Wheeler games offer a high hit rate—especially when targeting under 8.5 or under 7.5 totals in parks like Oracle or Petco.
Wheeler’s 148 strikeouts place him among the NL leaders. He’s recorded 8+ strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 outings. This has made the over 7.5 or even 8.5 K prop a viable parlay leg. When included with Phillies ML or alt run lines, it boosts odds without introducing unnecessary risk. Teams like Miami and Washington, both of which strike out at elevated rates, make ideal pairings for this strategy.
The Phillies will continue playing heavy division games, many of them against Miami, Atlanta, and Washington, who sit far behind in the standings.
As the trade deadline approaches, many bottom-tier teams begin leaning on young or replacement-level starters. Philadelphia’s disciplined lineup punishes pitchers who struggle to locate. Games where they face pitchers with WHIPs over 1.40 or low strikeout-to-walk ratios should be circled by bettors. These are ideal scenarios to take Phillies ML + team total over 4.5 in a two-leg combo.
In-division matchups often reveal trends. The Phillies have taken five straight series against Miami, scoring an average of 6.2 runs per game in those wins. Conversely, their games against the Mets tend to be lower-scoring and tighter. These tendencies help guide whether to build parlays around the run line, total runs, or player props. Understanding division patterns gives bettors an edge in matchups that may seem evenly matched at first glance.
Rather than relying on just moneyline results, mixing total run lines and player performance props has proven effective when betting on Philadelphia. Combining under totals in Zack Wheeler starts with a Turner hit prop or Schwarber HR line can push parlay odds higher without straying too far from statistical reliability. These combinations help offset volatility from late bullpen shifts or unexpected lineup changes.
The Phillies are well-positioned for a deep October push, and that makes them valuable throughout August and September. As long as Wheeler stays healthy and Schwarber maintains power production, Philadelphia will remain a strong leg in smartly constructed MLB parlay picks. Watch for weather conditions, monitor opposing pitchers, and track daily lineups. That kind of attention to detail has consistently made Phillies-based parlays a reliable option—and the second half looks primed for more of the same.
*Stats and Odds reflect value at time of writing 11.07.2025
